Showing posts with label Australia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Australia. Show all posts

Sunday, July 15, 2012

Immigrating in Australia


I have dealt with a lot of Asians over the years; had relationships with them, met them on planes, in their own countries, had relationships with them. A great number of them want to travel abroad. A great number of them are ignorant about the journey upon which they will embark. Their ignorance stems from the fact:
1. They have little knowledge of Western society - the failings of their schools perhaps, or simply because there are many countries, and assumptions are likely about countries and opportunities. They might know the USA from relatives, but they don't know other countries.
2. They are misled by migration agents/brokers and friends, whose context is often very different. We all want to offer encouragement, but sometimes we do it in half-measure, so people leave for a foreign nation, and end up disappointed. Migration agents make money by placing you in other countries, after which point, they have been paid, and you are poorly positioned to take legal action against them. They might not be well-regulated, because governments have protected themselves, and they care little about you.
3. Their qualifications not reecognised. A great many Asians have qualifications in their own country which are not recognised. This places them in a difficult situation in their host country. If you are Japanese or Korean, maybe you can get a job in the host country's major cities because there are many tourists from your home country. Otherwise, without high English standards or local degree, you will surely struggle to find job. Do you want to end up in a dead-end job selling trickets to tourists. You can do that in the developing world. 
4. Learning English - It is expensive to study in the West; they charge you a premium as a foreigner to get a 'gold plate' accredited degree, and then yon need to study a vocational course. Why bother? You are starting from behind, with a Western debt legacy. 
5. Find a partner - Maybe you hope to meet a Western guy/girl. The problem is that you will encounter a great many insincere partners who just want to have sex. A cultural distinction can be a point of interest however, but the question is whether the partners have identified the fundamental differences in their values. Soon they might be confronting an inter-racial custody battle for children, and you are at a disadvantage in a legal system you cannot afford, understand, or count upon for support. 
6. Finding a job - It can take years to find a job. Unless your vocation is in demand, it can take years, and even they they might prejudicially give you the low-challenge jobs, or maybe your education is not recognised or as good. So from the start, you seem to struggling with challenges that no one else has to contend with.
7. Support for immigrants is often lacking. The welfare system was not designed for you; you don't have the same support as 'locals', even though you pay taxes. Having said this, many Asian communities have community groups to support their local migrant population, and they are a great source of support. If they are strong, they can aid to ensure government policy is fair. 
8. Expensive services in the West. You will pay high rent in the West; with little hope of ever being able to afford a house given that they are sold at 10x annual earnings; and with your poor English, maybe it will take you 30 years to get a house, and you will pay 50% of your income in rent. Schooling is expensive, and maybe you need to support family at home. 

There are other elements with Australia. Immigration is hard...but its harder in Australia because:
1. Property prices are high - You will be paying out a lot of money for clothes and rent; so you will end up sharing a box with a great many others in order to save money. If that is ok, then Australia offers a very appealing environment.
2. High fees - You will be extorted for wealth; as this is the nature of the Australian political system, where all minorities are squeezed by governments. So expect high education fees, high immigration fees. They are not user-pays; they are government extortion fees. 

We all have a bitter taste about our own countries; their decline in values. Anywhere in the world looks better than our own place. Sometimes you need to fight for what you believe where your message is strongest - in your own country - making use of existing relationships. The most important things in life are best achieved in your home country:
1. Career
2. Relationships
3. Internal (housing) environment
4. External environment 
Only this last one is better in the West because of the legacy of prosperity. But the most important elements are best in your own country. If you want the best, find the best in your country; don't migrate to the ends of the earth; its a false dream; migrate to somewhere where you will be appreciated. i.e. Your big cities are rich in culture and prosperity, and they will rapidly emerge. Within a few decades you will be able to holiday in the West, and you might not even want to.
If you must live in the West....you might suffer in Australia from the issues above...but I've never met anyone who ever regreted it. There was an American who came to Australia at $US0.80; left at $US0.50, only to see the currency rise back to $1.01. So choose your moments. I have written a similar article about migrating to NZ. There is little comparison. 

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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Friday, March 23, 2012

The prospect of war: Australia and North Korea

According to the Sydney Morning Herald, Australia and South East Asia are apparently under threat from North Korea. According to Bob Carr, the foreign minister for the Australian Labor Party-led government, the American assistant secretary of state for East Asia and the Pacific, Dr Kurt Campbell has made this assertion. Julia Gillard is cordially invited to attend a heads of state meeting in South Korea to discuss peace.
This is a nonsense. This is political posturing as a precursor for war. This posturing is intended to assist the "anti-war" Labour government to 'sell war' with North Korea, and I suggest the same posturing will be made to convince people that action needs to be taken against Iran as well.
Don't get me wrong; I actually think there is huge justification for engaging with these states. The issue however is not whether it is justified; but whether our political leaders are 'playing with a straight bat'; or 'playing with a bad ball' to use a cricket analogy.
These two regimes have been allowed to assemble a defence system. There is actually good reason to think that these systems are not fully functioning. I fully expect North Korean missiles to fall out of the sky; but I also expect these regimes to be rolled very quickly if the Western military were to engage. Why? Well, its simply. North Korea is starting; and the political leadership in Iran is also very unpopular. There is good reason for thinking that support for these regimes will quickly fold if a concerted effort was brought to the issue. The approach to these two countries is different:
1. Seize control of Iranian oil interests after killing its aviation sector and destroying its nuclear armaments, and land to land and land-to-sea capacity. Place Iranian funds in a trust fund and use them to fight for democracy in the nation.
2. Knock out North Korean nuclear capacity. Whilst you might expect the North Korean military to display a formidable 'front' at first, expect them to collapse like a pack of cards, and to seek asylum in South Korea if they can.

The world ought to be accustomed to Western governments posturing to secure the support of the people. The issue is the Western political system which demands this type of 'manipulation'. The sad reality is that Western governments are manipulating our minds much as the North Koreans are using manipulation to secure the acquiescence of their people. There are important differences:
1. The North Korean government uses fear, intimidation; but mostly it uses propaganda and social pressure to ensure compliance.
2. The Western governments manipulate the press with certain media releases or precipitate certain action to bring about the result they want.

This case is interesting because we might expect that the North Korean leader might be open to negotiation and concessions because he is new to the job. His leadership is less 'entrenched' and I suspect he has less of a legacy of human rights abuses like his deceased father. This might be the bargaining chip of the West. The question is - how Westernised or enamoured is the new Korean leader with the West, and how strong is his relationship with the Chinese. If North Korea agrees to open its gates; after Myanmar has done, there is probably good reason to expect the same from Iran, the only other state to really present an 'imminent threat'.

The problem of course aside from these rogue states however is the manipulation of Western constituents. For while the focus of Western governments is on the injustices perpetrated by the rogue states; they remain remarkably indifferent to their own lack of moral integrity; and the inherent problems with Western democracies. They will happily tinker with these systems on the margin to give voters the hope of change; but really, this is just another façade. The West is fully prepared to manipulate voters to achieve their goals....which is to entrench their '2-party oligopolic position.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Wednesday, February 8, 2012

Living and buying property in Japan - never easier

Australians have barely felt this recession because of the backlog of investment in the booming mining industry. BHP, Rio Tinto and others are leading a huge growth in productive capacity; their aim is to supply minerals to China before they are beaten by Mongolia; which neighbours China. The goods news is that Australia can service the coastal provinces whilst Mongolia can service the inland provinces. There is likely to be a nice competitive spread of business for China.
The culmination of this boom is likely to be Australians travelling more with an ever-increasing dollar. One appealing travel destination is likely to be JAPAN. Why Japan? Several reasons:
1. Japan offers the cheapest property in Asia. Yes, surprising but true, and now is the perfect time to buy. Why? Japanese live in fear. And having just had a recession, they are not likely to be focused on investment. Demand is subdued after an increase in GST was announced.
2. Foreigners are allowed to buy property in Japan on a tourist visa. That is what I did - a 5bed dormitory 1hr from Tokyo for Y2.8mil ($US30,000). Cheap as chips. They are even cheaper if you buy in rural areas, which are subject to depopulation. But I wanted to be close to one of the most exciting cities in the world.
3. Jetstar and Air Asia X are racing to bring to the market increasing flights from Australia to 4 cities in Japan. I personally consider Tokyo and Fukuoka the best cities - for different reasons.
4. The appeal of travelling around the world for your summer. You need not leave your summer behind; you can chase your summer. Better still, if you are into skiing, you can chase your winters as well...just not at the same time. hehe.
5. Cultural shock. Japan is a great intro to a foreign culture. Its safe, its fascinating, its exciting, the food is amazing. Its high tech and invigorates the senses.
6. Travel is cheap if you are a tourist. Stay for 3 months before renewing your visa, whether you fly to HK or just extend. If you have the right job, you can do this easily. For more than 2 decades Japan has been offering foreigns a very generous travel pass - travel by shinkanzen (very fast trains) or local trains for $A300 for a week - unlimited. Cheaper for longer periods. I would get the shinkanzen to a remote part of Japan, then a local train to some mountain temple for lunch. The shinkanzen would get me home by dinner time. I save on accommodation costs.
7. Foreclosed property - best of all, you can buy foreclosed property like me, for a fraction of market value because of poor market sentiment and/or depopulation. Japanese people want to live in the 'expensive' city centre; but you can buy 12+ year old houses very cheaply in fringe areas for under Y4mil ($US 45,000). Its through the court system, so its safe.
8. Activities - Japan is great for campervanning, kayaking, canoeing, mountain biking and touring. I use the train network to go canoeing because many trains go up scenic isolated river systems. Of course, you can buy a cheap 7yr Toyota for $3000 (like my ex-partner did), or you can jump on a train with an inflatable as I did. The train network will get you anywhere.
9. Culture - Japan is a fascinating culture. I personally love connecting with foreigners and Japanese people in their gaijin districts. For many Japanese the place is insufferable...but that's because they accept all this pressure. I once had a conservation with a grandpa who wanted to commit suicide. He said 'I envy you"...being able to do whatever you want to do". This is the freedom we love in the West...but this generation never felt able to do it; some of their children are doing it. Which is why there are many Asians in Australia, USA, NZ living the dream. You don't have to remain in a dead-end job, you just need to have a flexible job like English teaching, tattooing, graphic design, programming, karate instruction. I know people who are teaching forex to Japanese people in English. Yes, they want to learn in English because they want to "kill two birds with one stone". 'Old Japanese Proverb' hehe. :)
10. Strategy - Develop a strategy for what you want to achieve. You can buy fringe city property, rural peoperty, skifield property, even property on islands. Yes, some countries place a high value on 'island property', in Japan, there is no such premium. In Australia, I pay a $150K premium to live within 400km of a city, in Japan, the distance is 1hr from a city or 5km from a train station. The dynamics are different...so you are never really isolated from the city. How much do I pay for my 1hr train ticket to inner city - just Y420. I ride a bike to the local shopping centre, grocery store, a plethora of bars, take-aways. My favourite is Hokka Hokka Tei...far better in Japan than their foreign franchises.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

The performance of the Australian Labor Party in government

Achievements of the Australian Labor Party in government....read on.

1.. Carbon Tax – “There will be no carbon tax under the Government I lead.”

2.. Nation Broadband Network – $50 billion but no cost-benefit analysis

3.. Building the Education Revolution – The school halls fiasco

4.. Home Insulation Plan (Pink Batts) – Dumped after deaths and injuries

5. Citizens Assembly – Dumped

6.. Cash for Clunkers – Dumped

7.. Hospital Reform – Nothing

8.. Digital set-top boxes – Cheaper at Harvey Norman and now going obsolete

9.. Emissions Trading Scheme – Abandoned

10. Mining Tax – Continuing uncertainty for our miners

11. Livestock export ban to IndonesiaA massive over-reaction that decimated

the cattle industry and transport industry in Northern Australia

12. Detention Centres – Riots & massive cost blow-outs

13. East Timor ‘solution’ – Announced before agreed

14. Malaysia ‘solution’ – Scrapped because Malaysia is not a signatory to UN Human Rights Charter

15. Manus Island ‘solution’ – On the backburner

16.. Computers in Schools – $1.4 billion blow out; less than half delivered

17. Cutting Red Tape – 12,835 new regulations, only 58 repealed

18. Asia Pacific Community – Another expensive Rudd frolic. Going nowhere

19. Green Loans Program – Abandoned. Only 3.5% of promised loans delivered

20. Solar Homes & Communities plan – Shut down after $534 million blow out

21. Green Car Innovation Fund – Abandoned

22. Solar Credits Scheme – Scaled back

23. Green Start Program – Scrapped

24. Retooling for Climate Change Program – Abolished

25. Childcare Centres – Abandoned. 260 promised, only 38 delivered

26. Take a “meat axe”’ to the Public Service – 24,000 more public servants added

27. Murray Darling Basin Plan – back to the drawing board

28. 2020 SummitMeaningless talkfest

29. Tax SummitDeferred and downgraded

30. Population Policy – Sets no targets

31. Fuel Watch – Abandoned

32. Grocery Choice – Abandoned

33. $900 Stimulus cheques – Sent to dead people and overseas residents.

The majority spent on flat screen TV's and fast food.

34. Foreign Policy – In turmoil with Kevin (747) Rudd running riot flying around

the world spending more than the US Secretary of State

35. National Schools Solar Program – Closing two years early

36. Solar Hot Water Rebate – Abandoned

37. Oceanic Viking – Caved in

38. GP Super Clinics – 64 promised, only 11 operational

39. Defence Family Healthcare Clinics – 12 promised, none delivered

40. Trade Training Centres – 2650 promised, 70 operational

41. Bid for UN Security Council seat – An expensive Rudd frolic

42.. My School Website – Revamped but problems continue

43. National Curriculum – States in uproar - as they would be

44. Small Business Superannuation Clearing House – 99% of small businesses reject it

45. Indigenous Housing Program – way behind schedule

46. Rudd Bank – Went nowhere

47. Using cheap Chinese fabrics for Defense uniforms – Ditched

48. Innovation Ambassadors Program – junked

49. Six Submarines – none operational

50. Debt limit to be increased to $250 billion and rising – to pay for all of this and much more


Source: Email - much loved
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Australian travel preferences and habits

There is an interesting story about Australian travel spending and international travel habits or preferences. It provides some insight into where people are spending their holidays. It appears Australia is out of favour; no doubt this is because of the greater budgetary pressures of the recession as well as the relatively high AUD. Mind you, the AUD is off 10% - down from 1.07 t0 97c to the USD. The general buoyancy of the AUD of course explains the foreign holidays for Australians. Spending big whilst the currency is high.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Australian property market - scary??

According to Harry Dent, the Australian property market 'could' halve in value - at least in overpriced areas like Sydney just like California because of the European debt crisis.
"In Sydney, the average house price is over nine times the average income, which is clearly unsustainable, Dent argues".
There are several problems with this story:
1. The probable correlation between a book sale and 'impending doom'....but I have not looked because I'm just cynical and its not a causal relationship anyway. You'd have to look at his arguments. Its possible that he's just ignorant.
2. Australia is in far better conditions than the United States

Australian debt is mostly private sector debt and its mostly underwritten by tangible assets - houses in areas where people want to live, and in a country which a great many people wish they could live. It is also a regulated property market, with government regulating land releases. The government is thus able to regulate prices by turning on the tap at two places - immigration or restriction of land supply. In contrast, Americans can move from a high demand centre like California to a low demand area like the fringes of Seattle or Sacramento and still keep a job. In Australia, you'd have to live 300km from Sydney to get cheap housing, i.e. Dunedoo or Taree. Yes, its extortion, but no one thinks of it like that.

The other big consideration is national income. Australia is well-positioned to supply commodities to the tiger nations of Asia, who are still growing at 5-10% per annum. We need to acknowledge that whilst the USA and Western nations are struggling, the developing world is undergoing an industrial revolution running at a faster pace than the one in the 1700s. The reason is clear - the absence or indifference to ineffectual regulation, and the impact of technology and structurally created cheap labour after decades of coercive statist government in this region. Look at Japan in the 1950s to 1970s; well China and India make a 20x bigger difference. US spending stimulated China; but rest assured that after an adjustment of say 5-7 years China will be making up for the foibles in the USA. Australia and Russia are in the best position to supply materials - relatively better than Brazil, Canada and South Africa. There are plans for mineral & energy investment in Australia of $750 billion - investments which could effectively double annual GDP. This is not going to occur overnight, but even if it takes 20 years, the capital inflows from China and elsewhere will be huge in itself, and for the 20mil people, it means more extortion. i.e. Immigrants will be ripped off as they pay full price for property. Except that will not care because they will have a job, and spare cash to send home to relatives in Asia.
This all means of course that Australia will have strong capital inflows and a strong dollar. Even if commodity prices or volumes come under some pressure, we need to appreciate that the Australian dollar will adjust accordingly. This market is secure. I think you can expect that governments will attempt to keep property prices stable, i.e. Expect property prices to move sideways for the next 10 years, or near so. With the Sydney market affordability index around 10x earnings - it is not going to fall, but with interest rates at low levels, I would not be expecting it to rise given the high levels of indebtedness and the return to conservative borrowing practices. This conservatism reflects foreign market factors rather than Australian considerations.
If you are considering buying a house in Australia; think again. You are buying into a political system based on extortion. If you do so, you simply need to find a rural town which is depopulating but finding work might be the greater concern. Try Taree, NSW or some of the wealthier rural towns based on cotton and beef. If you like beaches, try Grafton, maybe Kempsey (famous for its prison). Failing that; try NZ after renting for 5-10 years in Australia. In a decade, NZ will probably discover oil, and it will be as wealthy as Australia in relative terms. Of well, they live in hope, and its about as much as you can expect as well given the tyranny of majoritism.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Sunday, August 21, 2011

In Australia - size matters!

Never mind the housing boom in Australia; here is another angle. Australia is on average building the biggest homes in the world.
According to CommSec chief economist Craig James, the reason is:
"Certainly it makes sense that Australia builds bigger homes than in other countries, given that population density is far smaller than in other parts of the world".
Actually that is too much of a generalisation; and a very inaccurate one. There are plenty of countries with adequate space; the US being a prime example. I would suggest a different motivation:
1. Australia has more Greeks than most countries, and they have a liking for Colosseum and other such grandiose architectural features that adhore the facade of monumental displays of egotistical pretense.
2. Australia has a great many mining millionaires who got rich publishing false drilling results or false quarterly reports; and then let's not forget they have friends besting them in other industries. That is why they are called 'besties'.

Australia might have the lowest population density, but most of that land is tied up in reserves for the sake of aborigines and fauna. In fact, Australia has among the most restrictive zoning regulation in the world - despite the paradox of vast lands - which go some way towards explaining the ridiculously high prices for land in the country. i.e. 500m2 some 100km north of Sydney will cost $US220,000; then add another $150,000 for the house. You'd have to wonder why coastline is so valued given the 14,000 odd beaches in the country, but we are all compelled by our need for services, if not our desire to live near water.

I frankly can't believe that the Chief Economist at Commonwealth Bank said that our houses are bigger because of our low population density. No Craig, its because local government will not allow us to subdivide our land. i.e. We need to protect the trees to preserve the green credentials of Sydney. But then listen further and you will hear more gaffs from Craig:
"Gen Y places less importance in home ownership than past generations, preferring to maximise life experiences".
This is nonsense of course. Yes, apartments do have their advantages in terms of city proximity, easy of renting; but most Australians simply buy apartments because they can only afford the exorbitant $320-400K price tag for an apartment compared to $500-750K for a house & land. That is why many are moving 100kms to the Central or South Coast where they can still afford a house. This is pretty ignorant for a 'Chief economist' at a major bank. Aren't banks in the lending business? I guess he is in the securities department. But then aren't banks supposed to know something about the economy? Apparently credentials at Comsec don't include an education. But then I gathered that when I used to trade securities with them. Serious acts of incompetence cost me a great deal of money.
I guess the last time the size of Australian houses was so large was during the 1880s gold boom.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Extortion in Australia - applied pragmatism

The Australian economy is of course faring well; but that is not to say a moral crisis is not impacting on Australia, as in other democracies. The popular resentment in of course against the major parties. There is of course a lot of angst with business. And to be fair, a great deal of 'big business' does involve some form of extortion. I cannot however bring myself to blame them for their pragmatic idiocy because they don't to be the 'moral agents' that politicians profess to be. After all, politics is 'applied morality'. Politicians enact laws; they decide the relationship between you and your neighbour; and they have a collectivised monopoly on the 'legitimate' use of force. There are types of applied force:
1. Initiation of force - such as forced taxation, subsidies using extorted wealth, unfair imprisonment without trial.
2. Force in defense or as a custodial measure, i.e. When the police protect people, or when govt regulation is intended to protect, as opposed to distorting markets to achieve some desired outcome.

The moral crisis becomes evident in the following article. About 10 years ago, Pat Corrigan and the National Farmers Federation used their collective financial muscle to break the unions who were using their labour union organisation to extort wealth from the shippers and taxpayers. Today, we have a different form of thuggery. We have a group of thugs 'encircling' Canberra. You might say they are there to protest. Well I say, why does a minority or majority matter? The debate should be not about physical extortion, but about the quality of ideas. Why does this become about 'numbers' or 'sacrifice' (as in the case of the protesters time, or the Indian currently on a hunger strike in that failing democracy). The problem with democracy is that its all about the wrong things. Its not about objectivity or ideas; its about the power of money and 'numbers'. We ought to be vetting the ideas of genius; not the thuggery of the mindless extorters who could bother less whether principles apply. They have concrete interests, and its mostly about protecting their previous privileges. Some of them might well be legitimate, but extortion doesn't make them any more righteous.
Globally about 10 democracies are currently in a state of crisis, whether central bank crises, debt crises, civil unrest. The one's I can think of are: UK, Ireland, Iceland, Italy, France, Greece, Spain, Portugal, USA, Japan and the Middle East. This is quite an array of democracies and authoritarian regimes. I would actually argue that democracy is an authoritarian regime. Why? Two reasons:
1. No objective standard of value - 'numbers, not reason'
2. No personal sovereignty - you are a means to some public (i.e. non-self end)
Any system developed on those terms is a tyranny because you have no choice, and you have no basis to achieve justice or accountability.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Thursday, June 9, 2011

Wake up Australia! Gillard must go.

Have you noticed how quickly government goes off track when you have a collectivist running government. Picture this story:
1. Climate change is bad - so need to invest in solar. Huge sums given to fund programs, a great deal of misdirect of money, overpriced panels and installation, and unsustainable subsidies driving taxpayers into the ditch
2. Humanity intrinsic - Need to treat all people with dignity, even if they don't act with dignity. Need to encourage illegal immigration so not to offend sensitive humans with an intrinsic concept of human worth.
3. Climate change is bad - Killing of wild camels to reduce carbon (i.e. methane) emissions.

There is a value system here Australia. But do you think this is a good one. Do you think this is life affirming public policy? I don't think so for several reasons.
1. There is no clear evidence that humanity is detrimentally impacting the climate. This is conjecture at this point, and I'd say the arguments would quickly evaporate if more than 5% of the scientific population used their deductive, critical thinking capacity. Unfortunately, most of them are empiricists, who studied science because they could not make it into economics, or their values were corrupted by a poor education system, or their parents. We are sabotaging the economy, i.e. distorting human decision-making in order to preserve a lie; just as occurred with Vietnam, Iraq, children overboard, etc. Now we are being fed a rationalisation of climate change to kill camels. Next, expect a Liberal govt to use climate change as justification for nuclear. Frankly, I support nuclear, but for the right reasons.
2. The debate is populism: There is no informed debate on these issues. The mob is being manipulated by a Labor government in concert with lobbyists; probably some group inside the ABC who thought this is an issue to drive decision-making. It does not require a conspiracy; it requires an alliance of ignorance.
3. There is no accountability: Smart people are being alienated by a mob who controls government.

The intellectual decay in Australia is remarkable. The Liberals are just better; they are far from satisfactory. Australia - please start electing some Libertarians to at least control the balance of power. Just 10-15 of them, least we descend into anarchy. Frankly, that is probably a good thing. We need civil war as even the Libertarians cannot think. People might need to see the implications of stupidity. I might stay in the Philippines for the next decade. Australia's populism is reaching a new level of stupidity. The same type of stupidity that impacted Europe prior to WWII. Watch a nation be destroyed. It is no paradox that the nation never had it so good. Just 5% of the population produces 75% of exports. The nation never had it so easy. This is why you are all going to hell....well not hell...but a bad place. The looters and thugs are taking over. Gillard is the principal of their school of 'non-thought'.
Great rationalisation. Hopefully the animal & climate greens will cancel each other out. More worrisome is that they might mutate/breed. Fortunately they are so anti-conceptual, they will destroy each other over this concrete political issue, just like the Muslims and Christians in the Middle East. Ok, so they survived. The strategic question is whether they will be sufficiently weakened by their destructive actions. Unfortunately, objective intellectuals are a bit thin on the ground because of our crap education system.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Monday, May 30, 2011

Tiger Airlines on the back foot in Australia

It comes as no surprise to me that Tiger Airlines is on the back foot with respect to its ambitious expansion plans. The marketing side of the airline is bad enough without even looking at other issues. The airline has a number of issues:
1. Poor capacity to allow seamless travel through Singapore with a hopeless booking system
2. Misleading promotional campaigns which leave prospective customers snubbing their emails

In this respect, Jetstar has the right idea, though they have hopeless customer service. The good news is that Jetstar is showing signs of improving things. Air Asia X is another airline which is making the same mistake on marketing; though it probably has a lower cost operation given that KL is likely to be a lower cost hub. It is at an earlier stage in its expansion plans. It made the sensible decision to service the Christchurch market, which previously had no low-cost offerings to Asia. KL is a great hub because you can get a cheap hotel there for commuters.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Thursday, May 19, 2011

Extortion in the Australian building trade

Years ago I was in a group of Australians studying the philosophy of Ayn Rand. We would get together every Sunday and listen to taped lecture courses. These courses were very good. You can probably still get them from the Ayn Rand Institute.
One guy who turned up to one of the club meetings was a previously successful demolisher in the building trade. The guy was impressive in several respects. He was a big fellow with a great deal of confidence and he just radiated charisma. Sadly, he was not terribly intellectual. He was however interested in taking some political action.
He often talked about how he was making a lot of money in the building trade; that he employed a lot of people, until he was forced out of the business, and faced a union black-ban. The guy's name was John Companion. He shot himself in the head as a result of the stress, family breakdown that resulted from these events. He impressed a lot of people; and I think if he had the greater intellect to develop or advance a better strategy, he would have had a very different life. He went off the rails at this time. The signs of imminent suicide was the decision to change his name to 'John Galt' - the character in the best-selling fictional novel by Ayn Rand 'Atlas Shrugged'. Of course the book was recently made into a movie. The trailer is on YouTube.
All this of course is important because at the moment there is a big trial attracting a lot of attention in Australia between the unions and Multiplex, the construction company. The trial is raising news of kickbacks and so forth. There were people around John who could say a great deal in this trial I suspect.
Anyway, the fact that such extortion can go on for the 2 decades that I have known about it; the fact that people feel compelled to take their lives rather than seek justice, I think it says something, not just about the quality of our society, but the institutions which drive it. The legacy of this of course will not be justice. Justice is never done. It is always some half-measure. The half-measure arises from the huge cost of taking action, the people lost in the process, the settlements out of court, the lack of accountability, the incidental issues which seem to undermine compelling evidence. The problem of course is the nature of our government.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

The future of Qantas

The future of Qantas. What does one make of the current problems in Qantas. The airline appears to be having a lot of mechanical troubles on flights...running at about one problem a month. The unions attribute the problem to the outsourcing of jobs to Singapore. I am inclined to agree. There is of course the possibility of union staff sabotaging the reputation of Qantas in order to get the airline to resume maintenance in Australia. Would airline unions resort to extortion to protect their position in the industry? I think so ...particularly if it was merely to change perceptions rather than actually 'down an aircraft'.
The reality was always that this was always bad policy for Qantas. It should not have outsourced to Asia. This is fine for 'discount airline' Jetstar, but it was bad policy for Qantas. The problem is also that Qantas probably had no experience handling the cultural shift to Asia, and its track record is suffering as a result.
Oil fire may have caused engine failure on Qantas jet nydailynews.com

It seems only a matter of time before there is a serious accident. Then I think we can expect the government to buy back into Qantas to restore 'Australian jobs'. The problem was probably that it never really lost its 'public sector' culture after privatisation...like Commonwealth Bank.

The Qantas A380 passenger jet after it was forced to make an emergency ...guardian.co.uk
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Monday, April 11, 2011

Discount airlines flying to Australia

There are a number of discount airlines servicing Australia. I just found a new one - so I thought I would provide a list of the discount airlines now that I am aware of:
1. China Southern Airlines - See their website. They fly to Sydney, Brisbane, and soon to Auckland (NZ). Looking at their website, its a shocker. A sign that Chinese companies just have no idea about customer service. They are expensive too, but more importantly, it would be a nightmare to compare prices. I'd hate to think about the actual flight expensive. I am having flashbacks of a Garuda flight years ago...when they lost my luggage for 4 days. I went to a conference in Goa (India) in my Bali shorts.
2. Tiger Airways - see website. They are Singapore based, they fly to Melbourne and Perth only. I get bombarded with admails from this group, but their offers are always poor, and their routes are limited.
3. Air Asia X Airlines - See website. They are based in Kuala Lumpur, so this will most likely be your transit point. The positive aspects about KL is that its a pretty attractive city, far cheaper than Singapore, just as beautiful, without being as clinical, or broadly as authoritarian...just tight on the social values, so you probably shouldn't feel your GF's legs at the dinner table. They fly to Gold Coast, Perth, Sydney I think, as well as Christchurch (NZ).
4. Jetstar - Jetstar is a Qantas subsidiary, so they fly out of all Australian cities, as well as Auckland and Christchurch. They probably represent the best value, but the service is often dodgy. I've had many issues. i.e. Like telling my family they can't fly through Sydney when they knew we could. They refused to listen until the nth hour. Yes, that's you Page in Christchurch. Problem with Australian immigration as well. They didn't know the rules.
5. Pacific Blue - see website. They fly out of most Australian cities to NZ, Asia, etc. I always find them more pricey than Jetstar.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Monday, April 4, 2011

Sydney - the best place in Australia?

Reading this story I am inclined to agree with the author. Sydney would have to be one of the best places to live in the world....if not the best. I must say though there are a few issues I thought he missed:
1. Intellectual pursuits - Sydney offers philosophy groups which hang out in pubs and bars, so you can always have an interesting chat. This is not of course the typical way of spending an everything, but for some, they will be pleased with the opportunity. There are of course political parties you can join, but I found those non-participatory, i.e. Basically it matters little what you say, these people are not interested and offer no logical process of review/analysis.
2. Physical attributes - Sydney has one of the best locations in terms of physical assets, i.e. The harbour is actually three harbours/river systems all in one basin. It means you were unlucky not to grow up without a beach/harbour view. Great mountain (really valley) vistas are not far away, i.e. Blue Mountains and Fitzroy Falls
3. National parks - Sydney is surrounded by national parks. The Royal National Park, in the south, is the world's 2nd national park (after Yellowstone NP), and it is viewable as you fly into Sydbney. The Qantas pilots like to show it off. The Blue Mountains national park to the West is spectacular, along with Jenolan Caves. There are also national parks in the NW and north, as well as the city centre. Yes, the Sydney Harbour National Park protects fauna and flora in the city centre, i.e. Along the harbour and coastal foreshores and harbour islands. If you have the good fortune to live in the city, great if you are close to harbour, river or coastal walks.
4. Climate - Sydney has a very nice climate. Unlike Brisbane its not too hot in Sydney. In the last 20 years, its hardly ever gone above 32degC, and in winter it does not get below 5-8degC, depending on which part of the city you live in. If you live in the West you might get to 2degC. The rainfall is great at 1280mm, just enough to keep the city green, and its not intrusive into your lifestyle. The city experiences a range of climatic conditions, i.e. It is silent rain, or eventful storms...not boring depressing, overcast like Japan. Most days are cloudless, deep blue sky. When I stay in Sydney, there is just 1-2 months when I am not wearing a T-shirt.
5. The space - I love the 'space' of Australia. The ease with which you can get away from people. The lack of traffic congestion. Admittedly, I have not been living in Sydney much for the last few years.
6. The sounds and smells - You will think we weird - but I love the sounds and smells of Sydney, or Australia. The Sydney Blue Gum is a magnificent tree. These trees in windy weather produce a 'rustling' sound which is very peaceful. The same can be said of the sound of wave action on Sydney beaches. The wildness of that Pacific surf is unmatched...not in NZ or Japan. The smells are also special, as well as the sounds of the wild bird life.
7. Safety - Sydney is a pretty safe place. There are some youth gangs in certain parts of the city, but its otherwise a pretty safe place away from certain precincts. I feel it is more dangerous in NZ than Australia.

The bad news about Sydney, and indeed Australia, is:
1. The fascist government. No worse perhaps than the US government, but certainly little better. Perhaps Australians are just enjoying themselves too much to care. For me, its a deal breaker. I'd prefer to live in another country than finance political tyranny.
2. Poisonous snakes, spiders. The good news is that little else will kill you and snakes find you coming. If you don't pick up ground objects you will probably avoid spiders. But there is a certain appeal to NZ, which has none of these issues. Except politicians of course.
3. The sun - Australia's sun is very strong. The good news is that if you are in the shade its very pleasant because its very dry air. The direct sun is very strong, so take care in summer.
4. Remote - It will be argued by some that Australia is remote from other places. Sydney is close to New Zealand, which ranks highly as a place to live as well, or to holiday, and the two countries have a Closer Economic Relationship (CER) which makes integration easy. Sydney is 9 hours flight from Tokyo. But who's want to leave.
5. Sydney is expensive. The government strictly regulates land subdivision, so the cost of land is very high, and there are a lot of international investors buying in Sydney, because it is a nice place to live. Many Australians abroad buy in Australia with the intent of eventually retiring here...as do many foreigners like Chinese, Koreans and Japanese.

You do not necessarily have to live right in Sydney to enjoy these benefits.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Saturday, March 5, 2011

Australian Murray-Darling water rights conflict

Australia, the Federal Australian Labor government is preparing to destroy the Australian farming industry with water policies which are based on bad politics, bad science and deluded environmental values. Read further here and watch this well-researched presentation. This is your country, and Labor is appealing to green groups with no thought for the implications of its policies.
The Murray-Darling River has a volatile flow regime. Paradoxically, its life depends upon the regulating role of the dams and diversion schemes to ensure an optimal flow of water for the environment and farmers.
There is one question I have about this video. Does it consider the allocation of water for hydro-electricity, which can ultimately be used for farmer's allocations. This might be a political football. The presentation does not deal with that issue, or the issue of water efficiency.
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Sunday, January 23, 2011

Political correctness gone mad?

Political correctness gone mad? There was a news item on TV3 last night about a tennis player at the Melbourne-based Australian Open. She ended up apologising and retracting a story she told about being accosted by a koala. Apparently she made up the story to add some excitement to her press release, which she earlier stated were a rather boring affair.
It makes you think that some person from Tourism Australia, or maybe Tennis Australia has asked her to retract the statement because it paints koalas in a bad light. This is all my speculation of course because these things are not talked about. But, it would surprise no one.
Is there anything wrong with this. Not really. But as a side issue it is not an issue of factual correctness....its about money. The money of tourist operators. Not that they are likely to be consulted. Its would be the executive decision of a government agency.
There is - no question - great value in creating the perception that koalas are cute animals; and that they would never hurt anyone. The reality however is that they can be dangerous. But the reality is more dangerous. My issue however is with the lack of respect for facts. We would have people believe certain things about Australia so they come here as tourism. Why are we so invested in the opinions of a tennis champ? Does anyone care about her 'koala experience'?
I just think, watching the Oprah special on Australia, that they will fly in & out thinking Australia is a beautiful place. Well, it is. But how real will the experience be for anyone else because anyone taking their advice might struggle absorbing the cost of a fantasy adventure which only Oprah and a few others can afford and get the same access to. i.e. Don't expect anyone to be offering a 'barbie' on the beach when you arrive in Sydney. Oh, but you know that right! Just wanted to make sure because there is no tennis player to tell you. :)
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Drinking beer under-rated

The latest statistics suggest that Australians are drinking far less. Beer consumption has fallen considerably, however wine consumption has picked up some absolute sales, and a large share of the alcohol market. There are likely two reasons for this:
1. The positive health reinforcements about wine
2. The over-supply of wine keeping prices down

I personally love my wine, and am pissed off that I can't drink it. The problem is that for people like myself beer contains high purine levels which is destined to give me gout if I consume it. The reasons for the lost market share of beer are:
1. The appeal of pre-mixed drinks
2. Probably the greater policing with breathalisers
3. Recession-induced cultural change. The party is over....long live the party!
4. Global warming has caused beer temperatures to increase....Aussies are rightly miffed!
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Andrew Sheldon www.sheldonthinks.com

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